
In todayβs newsletter I discuss how itβs the economy stupid, Starbucks ISN'T buying Chipotle, the Wu-Tang Clan just dropped βThe Disciple: A Wu-Tang Fableβ on Netflix, Reese Witherspoon is buying back her production company Hello Sunshine on the cheap, Ben Affleck is pretty popular in Hollywood these days after selling his AI company to Netflix, American homeowners are sitting on a massive pile of wealth, Elon Musk has decided heβs renaming his βSpaceXAIβ to βSpaceXSIβ, the Wu-tang Clan is dropping The Disciple: A Wu-Tang Fable on Netflix tonight, kids are moving back in with their parents to save money so they can daytrade AI stocks using margin, and the Walt Disney Company announced it will be streaming the upcoming Super Bowl LX on Disney+.
Letβs get into it!
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π₯΄ππ°π Itβs The Economy Stupid!
If you turn on the financial news these days youβll likely hear everything is going gangbusters in the U.S. economy. Talking heads point to a massive $32.56 trillion dollars GDP thatβs growing at a +2.2% annualized rate as of Q2 2026, a booming stock market valued at over $75.3 trillion dollars, and a consumer that just keeps on spending seemingly no matter what happens. But this market exuberance ignores whatβs really going on just beneath the surface. Iβm talking about the K-shaped economy, and contrary to what some might say itβs not dead. Itβs just getting started. Letβs get into it.
The headlines are filled with reports of new investments in factories and corporate cash piles so big Scrooge McDuck could swim in them, yet everyday working families are battling compounding living costs that are adding up to a record $1.14 trillion dollars in high interest credit card debt just to get by. Meanwhile, the small businesses that employ roughly 46.5% of America's workforce, and who you can thank for keeping your local community running, are getting squeezed by sky high borrowing costs. To understand whatβs really going on with our economy, you have to look past the rosy Wall Street figures and examine the real economic pressures that are affecting families who are sitting at the kitchen table wondering if they can afford to continue to put food on the table.
Letβs start with the much talked about and cheered revitalization of American manufacturing. Some political parties claim that aggressive tariffs can single handedly transform this countryβs factories. Iβm all for growing manufacturing in the U.S., but Iβm skeptical that taxing the American people, which is exactly what tariffs are, is the best way to do it. The way the current tariffs have been implemented has been haphazard and are now acting as a regressive national sales tax paid at the checkout counter by the very consumers who increasingly are struggling to put food on their tables. No foreign governments are paying these tariffs, just like Mexico didnβt pay for any wall. When U.S. manufacturers are forced to pay higher prices for imported parts and raw materials they have no other choice than to pass those costs down to U.S. consumers. The actual driver of the recent domestic construction and manufacturing boom is not just U.S. protectionism, but rather targeted public investments that stimulate the economy and lead to broader prosperity. Take for example the CHIPS and Science Act, which injected $52.7 billion dollars directly into domestic semiconductor manufacturing, or the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law passed in 2021 that directed $1.2 trillion dollars into rebuilding American supply chains and physical infrastructure. The Inflation Reduction Act dedicated another $391 billion dollars toward energy and climate provisions. These kinds of government spending initiatives are what lead to Intel spending $20 billion dollars to build new factories in Ohio. Tariffs havenβt led any U.S. companies to turn around and say βI know weβre losing billions of dollars to tariffs, but now seems like a great time to build a new factory.β
Are you picking up on my sarcasm? Because Iβm laying it on pretty thick!
Crediting tariffs for this growth is wrong, and it ignores the bipartisan public investments that have led to the current AI boom and the stock market making all new highs, which I know that βthe stock market isnβt the economyβ, but itβs hard to ignore the discrepancy in prosperity of U.S. investors in the face of tariffs and rising prices on nearly everything.
The financial press, and Iβm talking about the CNBCs and Wall Street Journals of the world, love to point out how resilient consumer spending has been as some kind of proof that everyday people are thriving. Theyβre not. Theyβre just getting byβ¦barely. When analysts report high volumes of foot traffic and sales at discount chain stores they label spending by middle and lower-income consumers as strong, but Americans arenβt rushing to mindlessly spend their money. Theyβre looking for a deal. Theyβve used up their disposable income, and now theyβre making financial choices of whether to buy no-name shoes for Junior or pay their rent on time. Theyβre starting to feel the impact of years of compounding price increases that have eroded their purchasing power. Their Covid-era savings are gone. Todayβs consumers are financing daily necessities with expensive debt. Total household debt has reached an insane $18.8 trillion dollars. Credit card balances in the U.S. have surged to $1.26 trillion dollars. Auto loan debt has exceeded $1.71 trillion dollars. These are huge numbers that canβt be ignored. Weβre seeing credit card and auto loan delinquencies creep up to alarming levels. I mean Iβm alarmed, and I write about this stuff all the time. Arenβt you worried? Well I think you should be. Working families arenβt spending more because theyβve got disposable income. Theyβre swiping their credit cards that have 23.96% interest rates because they have no other way to pay for their familyβs food. Theyβre just trying to maintain their basic standard of living, but the press would have you believe theyβre out at the malls spending freely because everything is peachy.
The debt levels of Wall Street companies can also shed light on the economic foundation of our economy. While itβs true that some of the biggest tech companies in the U.S. have easy access to capital with near zero interest rates that they locked in years ago, the small and mid-sized companies that actually employ nearly half of the American workforce are being squeezed. The corporate debt market in the U.S. has just swelled to over $13 trillion dollars, with the average interest being charged to these companies sitting at around 5.97%. A mid-sized U.S. manufacturing company that is forced to refinance a $50 million dollars loan in this financial environment is going to face skyrocketing interest payments which will force them to stop hiring, or even worse cause them to begin laying off the very American workers that the government is telling them that tariffs will help revitalize the manufacturing sector in the U.S.
Itβs great to celebrate a booming stock market, but the AI boom doesnβt lift all ships in this economy. A growing GDP is good news, but it masks the K-shaped economy that is leaving lower and middle-income households facing rising costs, falling real wages, and in financial distress while financial talking heads tout rosy topline economic numbers that donβt mean much without context. The top 10% of Americans now hold roughly $44 trillion dollars in stock market wealth, while the average American household has less than $500 dollars that they could use in an emergency. The median home price in the U.S. is now hovering around $420,000 dollars, which puts it firmly out of reach financially for young people just out of school and entering the workforce. Thereβs no doubt that the U.S. economy is massive, and that itβs been resilient in the face of previous economic turmoil, but weβre now facing a divergence in the economy that ups the stakes of tipping into a recession if all Americans arenβt equally lifted up by the rising economic tide.
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Quick Hits
π― Business
It turns out burritos and coffee donβt go well together, although I beg to differ. Starbucks has decided not to submit an offer to acquire Chipotle, as was rumored and I wrote about last week. Canβt say Iβm sorry, as the deal didnβt make a lot of sense amid Starbucks' turnaround story, but Chipotleβs growth is hard to ignore. Iβm guessing this wonβt be the last Chipotle acquisition rumor we hear.
π Entertainment
Reese Witherspoon is buying back her production company Hello Sunshine from Candle Media, which she originally sold to the company for $900 million dollars back in August 2021. Sheβs partnering with the French studio Mediawan to buy back the entire company. The repurchased Hello Sunshine will allow Reese Witherspoon execute on a creator-first philosophy that better matches her own vision for telling stories as distribution models and streaming economics evolve. Itβs also rumored she was able to buy back Hello Sunshine for a fraction of the $900 million dollars she got when she sold it, with some industry experts suggesting it was for less than $99 million dollars. Thatβs a pretty big number for Candle Media to write off. Iβd watch a movie about Reese Witherspoonβs deal to sell and then repurchase Hello Sunshine. Think theyβll make a movie about it?
π₯ AI
Ben Affleck is pretty popular in Hollywood these days, except itβs for his AI chops and not his acting. Earlier this year in March 2026 Netflix bought Ben Affleckβs AI startup InterPositive for $587 million dollars. Netflix even let him stick around after appointing him as a senior advisor, not that he needs the money these days.
π‘ Real Estate
American homeowners are sitting on a massive pile of wealth in the form of the homes they own, and theyβre refusing to spend it. The total accumulated home equity held by U.S. homeowners with a mortgage hit a record of $17.9 trillion dollars. With property values climbing so quickly, the average home owner holds around $310,000 dollars in home equity. According to economist Thom Malone most homeowners have low interest rates on their homeβs mortgages and they see no reason to borrow anymore money. Iβm guessing theyβre sleeping pretty good at night with all that equity over their heads.
π Space
Last week I wrote about how President Donald Trump on a whim decided he alone could rebrand βArtificial Intelligenceβ as βSuper Intelligenceβ all on his own without asking anyone in the AI industry, who presumably knows what theyβre talking about, if it was a good idea. Now one of President Donald Trumpβs favorite Yes Men, Elon Musk, has decided heβs renaming his βSpaceXAIβ to βSpaceXSI.β
While you'll never get me to say βSuper Intelligenceβ with a straight face, I will heretofore refer to ElonMuskβs AI division as βSpaceXSIβ.
That hurts just saying it.
π¬ Trailer
Everyone that knows me knows Iβm a huge Wu-Tang Clan fan. Iβve seen them a bunch of times in concert, as well as seeing some of the individual memberβs own concerts including my claim to fame where I was shoved by Method Man after a concert he did with Redman at Vassar College back on November 17, 1995.
Iβm definitely checking for this new new movie from the Wu-tang Clan called
The Disciple: A Wu-Tang Fable when it drops on Netflix tonight!
π¦ Daytrading
Having lived through my fair share of market bubbles, and having been a daytrader on-and-off over the last 30 years, you just know weβre in a bubble when kids are moving back in with their parents to save money so they can daytrade AI stocks using margin on platforms like Robinhood and Webull. Iβve seen this movie before, as well as starred in it metaphorically speaking, and believe me when I say it doesnβt end well.
π Sports
The Walt Disney Company announced it will be streaming the upcoming Super Bowl LX on Disney+ alongside ESPN and ABC. Disney paid $2.7 billion dollars for an 11-year media rights contract to broadcast the Super Bowl that runs through the 2033 NFL season. Theyβre expecting a record audience of over 127.7 million U.S. TV viewers, with some predicting viewership could even exceed 200 million views. Iβm skeptical of that number, but I agree viewership is definitely growing for the Super Bowl. Disney has completely sold out of all ad spaces, with some brands paying as much as $10 million dollars for a 30 second spot. For that price, Disney better hope they get a record number of viewers.
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The Business Behind The News is written, edited, and published by Chris Thompson.




